The Scientic Method




Until very recently in history, no progress was made in answering
questions like these. Worse than that, the wrong answers written
by thinkers like the ancient Greek physicist Aristotle were accepted

without question for thousands of years. Why is it that scienti c

knowledge has progressed more since the Renaissance than it had
in all the preceding millennia since the beginning of recorded his-
tory? Undoubtedly the industrial revolution is part of the answer.
Building its centerpiece, the steam engine, required improved tech-







 niques for precise construction and measurement. (Early on, it was
considered a major advance when English machine shops learned to
build pistons and cylinders that  t together with a gap narrower
than the thickness of a penny.) But even before the industrial rev-
olution, the pace of discovery had picked up, mainly because of the
introduction of the modern scienti c method. Although it evolved
over time, most scientists today would agree on something like the
following list of the basic principles of the scienti c method:

(1) Science is a cycle of theory and experiment. Scienti c the-

ories 1 are created to explain the results of experiments that were
created under certain conditions. A successful theory will also make
new predictions about new experiments under new conditions. Even-
tually, though, it always seems to happen that a new experiment
comes along, showing that under certain conditions the theory is
not a good approximation or is not valid at all. The ball is then
back in the theorists’ court. If an experiment disagrees with the
current theory, the theory has to be changed, not the experiment.

a / Science is a cycle of the-
ory and experiment.

(2) Theories should both predict and explain. The requirement of

predictive power means that a theory is only meaningful if it predicts
something that can be checked against experimental measurements
that the theorist did not already have at hand. That is, a theory
should be testable. Explanatory value means that many phenomena
should be accounted for with few basic principles. If you answer
every “why” question with “because that’s the way it is,” then your
theory has no explanatory value. Collecting lots of data without
being able to  nd any basic underlying principles is not science.

(3) Experiments should be reproducible. An experiment should

be treated with suspicion if it only works for one person, or only
in one part of the world. Anyone with the necessary skills and
equipment should be able to get the same results from the same
experiment. This implies that science transcends national and eth-
nic boundaries; you can be sure that nobody is doing actual science
who claims that their work is “Aryan, not Jewish,” “Marxist, not
bourgeois,” or “Christian, not atheistic.” An experiment cannot be
reproduced if it is secret, so science is necessarily a public enterprise.

As an example of the cycle of theory and experiment, a vital step

toward modern chemistry was the experimental observation that the
chemical elements could not be transformed into each other, e.g.,
lead could not be turned into gold. This led to the theory that
chemical reactions consisted of rearrangements of the elements in

b / A satirical drawing of an
alchemist’s laboratory. H. Cock,
after a drawing by Peter Brueghel
the Elder (16th century).

1 The term “theory” in science does not just mean “what someone thinks,” or

even “what a lot of scientists think.” It means an interrelated set of statements
that have predictive value, and that have survived a broad set of empirical
tests. Thus, both Newton’s law of gravity and Darwinian evolution are scienti c

theories. A “hypothesis,” in contrast to a theory, is any statement of interest
that can be empirically tested. That the moon is made of cheese is a hypothesis,
which was empirically tested, for example, by the Apollo astronauts.





di erent combinations, without any change in the identities of the
elements themselves. The theory worked for hundreds of years, and

was con rmed experimentally over a wide range of pressures and

temperatures and with many combinations of elements. Only in
the twentieth century did we learn that one element could be trans-
formed into one another under the conditions of extremely high
pressure and temperature existing in a nuclear bomb or inside a star.

That observation didn’t completely invalidate the original theory of

the immutability of the elements, but it showed that it was only an
approximation, valid at ordinary temperatures and pressures.

self-check A

A psychic conducts seances in which the spirits of the dead speak to
the participants. He says he has special psychic powers not possessed
by other people, which allow him to “channel” the communications with
the spirits. What part of the scienti c method is being violated here?

Answer, p. 272

The scienti c method as described here is an idealization, and

should not be understood as a set procedure for doing science. Sci-
entists have as many weaknesses and character  aws as any other
group, and it is very common for scientists to try to discredit other
people’s experiments when the results run contrary to their own fa-
vored point of view. Successful science also has more to do with
luck, intuition, and creativity than most people realize, and the
restrictions of the scienti c method do not sti e individuality and
self-expression any more than the fugue and sonata forms sti ed
Bach and Haydn. There is a recent tendency among social scien-
tists to go even further and to deny that the scienti c method even
exists, claiming that science is no more than an arbitrary social sys-
tem that determines what ideas to accept based on an in-group’s
criteria. I think that’s going too far. If science is an arbitrary social
ritual, it would seem di cult to explain its e ectiveness in building
such useful items as airplanes, CD players, and sewers. If alchemy
and astrology were no less scienti c in their methods than chem-
istry and astronomy, what was it that kept them from producing
anything useful?

Discussion Questions

Consider whether or not the scienti c method is being applied in the fol-
lowing examples. If the scienti c method is not being applied, are the
people whose actions are being described performing a useful human
activity, albeit an unscienti c one?

A Acupuncture is a traditional medical technique of Asian origin in
which small needles are inserted in the patient’s body to relieve pain.
Many doctors trained in the west consider acupuncture unworthy of ex-
perimental study because if it had therapeutic effects, such effects could
not be explained by their theories of the nervous system. Who is being
more scienti c, the western or eastern practitioners?

 Section 0.1 The Scienti c Method 21




B Goethe, a German poet, is less well known for his theory of color.
He published a book on the subject, in which he argued that scienti c
apparatus for measuring and quantifying color, such as prisms, lenses
and colored  lters, could not give us full insight into the ultimate meaning
of color, for instance the cold feeling evoked by blue and green or the
heroic sentiments inspired by red. Was his work scienti c?

C A child asks why things fall down, and an adult answers “because of
gravity.” The ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle explained that rocks fell
because it was their nature to seek out their natural place, in contact with
the earth. Are these explanations scienti c?

D Buddhism is partly a psychological explanation of human suffering,
and psychology is of course a science. The Buddha could be said to
have engaged in a cycle of theory and experiment, since he worked by
trial and error, and even late in his life he asked his followers to challenge
his ideas. Buddhism could also be considered reproducible, since the
Buddha told his followers they could  nd enlightenment for themselves
if they followed a certain course of study and discipline. Is Buddhism a
scienti c pursuit?
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